The polls weren't wrong. DUH.
Let’s put this to bed right now: the polls were not wrong. The reporting of the polls were wrong. Here are some numbers from polls taken between January 4-7th (thank you to Keith Olbermann for pointing this out):
Fox News: 32% for Obama
NY Times: 35% for Obama
Rasmussen: 37% for Obama
WNBC/Marist: 36% for Obama
Those numbers basically hit the nail on the head for Obama’s results, right?
But what about Hillary’s numbers? Well, the NY Times poll also reported 9% of Democrats “undecided” and 28% “not definite”. Fox News reported 12% “don’t know.” And, here’s the kicker: WNBC/Marist reported that 23% of Obama supporters and a whopping 30% of Edwards supporters were “not firmly committed.”
“Not definite” and “undecideds” and “not firmly committed” seems to have helped Hillary, without a doubt.
Does this not prove that the polls weren’t as wrong as everyone is saying? Seems like the media is just infatuated with the top line numbers that can cause a big splash and don’t bother turning the page to see what else the polls are showing. I have my own issues with polling and all the hype and attention the polls get before an election. But this was not a polling error.
I think it’s time to put this to bed and move on to the next hot thing to talk about. As long as it has nothing to do with crying.
Fox News: 32% for Obama
NY Times: 35% for Obama
Rasmussen: 37% for Obama
WNBC/Marist: 36% for Obama
Those numbers basically hit the nail on the head for Obama’s results, right?
But what about Hillary’s numbers? Well, the NY Times poll also reported 9% of Democrats “undecided” and 28% “not definite”. Fox News reported 12% “don’t know.” And, here’s the kicker: WNBC/Marist reported that 23% of Obama supporters and a whopping 30% of Edwards supporters were “not firmly committed.”
“Not definite” and “undecideds” and “not firmly committed” seems to have helped Hillary, without a doubt.
Does this not prove that the polls weren’t as wrong as everyone is saying? Seems like the media is just infatuated with the top line numbers that can cause a big splash and don’t bother turning the page to see what else the polls are showing. I have my own issues with polling and all the hype and attention the polls get before an election. But this was not a polling error.
I think it’s time to put this to bed and move on to the next hot thing to talk about. As long as it has nothing to do with crying.
1 Comments:
I blame the Frog for this. If he wasn't so busy hanging with Lou Dobbs, this never would have happened. Stinkin Frog (sorry Frog).
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